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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.7%

France 14.0%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,287,511 Vol.

Finland 35.7%

France 14.0%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,287,511 Vol.

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Finland

$1,860,963 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,425,656 Vol.

14%

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Denmark

$949,830 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,205,778 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,324,594 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,240,273 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$947,211 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,135,347 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,542,756 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$912,824 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$819,591 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,124,175 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,029,982 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,118,176 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$889,576 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,023,641 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$949,678 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,257,794 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,198,154 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,304,357 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,217,244 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$716,505 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,124,539 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,195,956 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,601,121 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,172,169 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,394,049 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,146,616 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,533,128 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,262,370 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,926,630 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,765,051 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,974,692 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$815,541 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,185,485 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen, crowned via UMK on February 28, drives its frontrunner status at 35.7% implied probability, blending jury-friendly classical flair with televote surge potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France's operatic soprano Monroe with "Regarde!," internally selected March 6, holds second at 14% on rising buzz from its distinctive sound amid divided fan reactions. Denmark's melodic "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund, via Melodi Grand Prix February 14, secures third at 10.1% with consistent Nordic appeal. OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points to Finland, reinforce trader consensus, though more national selections and Vienna rehearsals through May could shift dynamics in this fragmented field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,287,511
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen, crowned via UMK on February 28, drives its frontrunner status at 35.7% implied probability, blending jury-friendly classical flair with televote surge potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France's operatic soprano Monroe with "Regarde!," internally selected March 6, holds second at 14% on rising buzz from its distinctive sound amid divided fan reactions. Denmark's melodic "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund, via Melodi Grand Prix February 14, secures third at 10.1% with consistent Nordic appeal. OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points to Finland, reinforce trader consensus, though more national selections and Vienna rehearsals through May could shift dynamics in this fragmented field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,287,511
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $54.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.