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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.9%

France 13.5%

Denmark 10.9%

Australia 6.4%

Polymarket

$56,559,996 Vol.

Finland 35.9%

France 13.5%

Denmark 10.9%

Australia 6.4%

Polymarket

$56,559,996 Vol.

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Finland

$1,896,331 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,457,310 Vol.

14%

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Denmark

$1,013,820 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,235,653 Vol.

6%

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Greece

$1,355,476 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,268,724 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$976,083 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,171,792 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,581,127 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$931,872 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$830,534 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,155,215 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,051,446 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,130,888 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,271,850 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$982,507 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$911,254 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,072,388 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,211,180 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,330,162 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,320,066 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$720,305 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,949,863 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,281,867 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,358,205 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,750,997 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,317,572 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,554,221 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,307,581 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,672,258 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,412,091 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,919,146 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,130,806 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$824,855 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,211,316 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$56,559,996
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$56,559,996
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $56.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.