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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.9%

France 13.1%

Denmark 10.2%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,198,157 Vol.

Finland 34.9%

France 13.1%

Denmark 10.2%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,198,157 Vol.

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Finland

$1,827,659 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,381,462 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$895,895 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,152,224 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,283,086 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,202,026 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$924,592 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,092,490 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,490,880 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$878,875 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,092,626 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$953,587 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$758,060 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,102,340 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,073,202 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,208,105 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,019,621 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$877,610 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$675,407 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,506 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$934,264 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,251,649 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,915,976 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,995,745 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,981,245 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,351,238 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,035,761 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,480,475 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,572,456 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,865,064 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,564 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,741,214 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,241,102 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,878,726 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,067,177 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners at 34.9% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin virtuosity and flamethrower staging that has ignited viral buzz, topped OGAE fan votes from France, and led predictive models like The Model. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% buoyed by her jury-favored "Regarde!" and recent live TV debut showcasing powerhouse vocals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) rides Nordic ballad momentum from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) and Greece's Akylas (6.8%) draw star power and multilingual appeal, but the wide-open field persists amid ongoing national selections through April, with semis on May 12/14 and final on 16 setting the stage for televote-jury splits.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners at 34.9% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin virtuosity and flamethrower staging that has ignited viral buzz, topped OGAE fan votes from France, and led predictive models like The Model. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% buoyed by her jury-favored "Regarde!" and recent live TV debut showcasing powerhouse vocals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) rides Nordic ballad momentum from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) and Greece's Akylas (6.8%) draw star power and multilingual appeal, but the wide-open field persists amid ongoing national selections through April, with semis on May 12/14 and final on 16 setting the stage for televote-jury splits.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners at 34.9% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin virtuosity and flamethrower staging that has ignited viral buzz, topped OGAE fan votes from France, and led predictive models like The Model. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% buoyed by her jury-favored "Regarde!" and recent live TV debut showcasing powerhouse vocals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) rides Nordic ballad momentum from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) and Greece's Akylas (6.8%) draw star power and multilingual appeal, but the wide-open field persists amid ongoing national selections through April, with semis on May 12/14 and final on 16 setting the stage for televote-jury splits.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners at 34.9% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin virtuosity and flamethrower staging that has ignited viral buzz, topped OGAE fan votes from France, and led predictive models like The Model. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% buoyed by her jury-favored "Regarde!" and recent live TV debut showcasing powerhouse vocals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) rides Nordic ballad momentum from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) and Greece's Akylas (6.8%) draw star power and multilingual appeal, but the wide-open field persists amid ongoing national selections through April, with semis on May 12/14 and final on 16 setting the stage for televote-jury splits.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $50.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.