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Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

$29,168 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$29,168 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$5,172 Vol.

71%

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Greece

$2,551 Vol.

45%

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Denmark

$559 Vol.

37%

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France

$548 Vol.

35%

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Israel

$1,156 Vol.

31%

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Australia

$13 Vol.

28%

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Sweden

$388 Vol.

20%

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Italy

$684 Vol.

26%

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Ukraine

$239 Vol.

25%

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Cyprus

$0 Vol.

21%

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Luxembourg

$0 Vol.

15%

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United Kingdom

$1 Vol.

14%

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Malta

$276 Vol.

13%

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Poland

$217 Vol.

13%

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Switzerland

$63 Vol.

13%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Bulgaria

$0 Vol.

12%

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Norway

$500 Vol.

12%

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Albania

$155 Vol.

11%

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Moldova

$28 Vol.

11%

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Portugal

$206 Vol.

11%

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Latvia

$164 Vol.

9%

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Romania

$0 Vol.

21%

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Croatia

$63 Vol.

19%

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Azerbaijan

$16 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$411 Vol.

7%

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Serbia

$58 Vol.

9%

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Georgia

$14,820 Vol.

10%

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Armenia

$0 Vol.

15%

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Belgium

$241 Vol.

12%

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Lithuania

$169 Vol.

4%

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Montenegro

$351 Vol.

4%

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Austria

$93 Vol.

3%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

11%

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San Marino

$29 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 3 market has sharpened around frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting odds amid strong jury appeal and staging buzz from previews. France and Israel follow closely, the latter favored for televote dominance per historical patterns, while Greece and Denmark vie for contention in a 35-entry field hosted by Vienna after Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love." National selections wrapped in March, fueling momentum shifts via promo tours and early rehearsals; jury-televote splits remain a wildcard. First semi-final on May 12 could alter qualification trajectories before the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$29,168
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 3 market has sharpened around frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting odds amid strong jury appeal and staging buzz from previews. France and Israel follow closely, the latter favored for televote dominance per historical patterns, while Greece and Denmark vie for contention in a 35-entry field hosted by Vienna after Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love." National selections wrapped in March, fueling momentum shifts via promo tours and early rehearsals; jury-televote splits remain a wildcard. First semi-final on May 12 could alter qualification trajectories before the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$29,168
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

20%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

82%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 71%, followed by "Greece" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" has generated $29.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 3," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is "Finland" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.