The Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market is highly speculative this far out, with trader consensus shaped by historical voting patterns favoring perennial powerhouses like Sweden (seven-time winners), Ukraine, and Big 5 nations—France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK—which auto-qualify to the grand final. No national selections have started, as processes typically begin in January, leaving odds fluid and tied to past successes, strong songwriting legacies, and televote appeal. The May 17, 2025, final in Basel, Switzerland, will crown the host for 2026, granting them a home advantage and setting the tone. Ongoing EBU debates over participation amid geopolitical tensions, including Israel's status, add uncertainty; watch for early selection reveals and confirmed lineups as key momentum shifters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$84,352 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

France
75%

Ukraine
75%

Denmark
72%

Sweden
72%

Australia
69%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Lithuania
10%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
10%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
7%

Austria
6%
$84,352 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

France
75%

Ukraine
75%

Denmark
72%

Sweden
72%

Australia
69%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Lithuania
10%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
10%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
7%

Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market is highly speculative this far out, with trader consensus shaped by historical voting patterns favoring perennial powerhouses like Sweden (seven-time winners), Ukraine, and Big 5 nations—France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK—which auto-qualify to the grand final. No national selections have started, as processes typically begin in January, leaving odds fluid and tied to past successes, strong songwriting legacies, and televote appeal. The May 17, 2025, final in Basel, Switzerland, will crown the host for 2026, granting them a home advantage and setting the tone. Ongoing EBU debates over participation amid geopolitical tensions, including Israel's status, add uncertainty; watch for early selection reveals and confirmed lineups as key momentum shifters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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