Market icon

European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

Market icon

European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$113,275 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$113,275 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$113,275
End Date
Oct 17, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2024, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$113,275
End Date
Oct 17, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2024, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?" has generated $113.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.