Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$65,284 Vol.
$65,284 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$65,284 Vol.
$65,284 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$65,284End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,284End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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