Trader consensus clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10, with 240-259 leading at 13% implied probability, mirroring his recent rolling 7-day total of 241 posts (averaging 34-35 daily per MuskMeter data) and 30-day average of 35. Late March saw spikes to 38-39 posts on March 30-31 amid Tesla Model 3's 10-year anniversary buzz and commentary on global immigration policies, boosting momentum, while weekends dipped to 18-29. This period's weekday-heavy calendar (five weekdays, three weekend days) creates competitive dynamics: sustained engagement from AI/Tesla updates or viral political takes could push toward 280+, but quieter periods might cap at 220-259. Markets reflect crowdsourced volatility in Musk's unpredictable posting rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated240-259 13%
260-279 12%
220-239 12%
280-299 12%
$294,172 Vol.
$294,172 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
9%
220-239
12%
240-259
13%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
10%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
4%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 13%
260-279 12%
220-239 12%
280-299 12%
$294,172 Vol.
$294,172 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
9%
220-239
12%
240-259
13%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
10%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
4%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10, with 240-259 leading at 13% implied probability, mirroring his recent rolling 7-day total of 241 posts (averaging 34-35 daily per MuskMeter data) and 30-day average of 35. Late March saw spikes to 38-39 posts on March 30-31 amid Tesla Model 3's 10-year anniversary buzz and commentary on global immigration policies, boosting momentum, while weekends dipped to 18-29. This period's weekday-heavy calendar (five weekdays, three weekend days) creates competitive dynamics: sustained engagement from AI/Tesla updates or viral political takes could push toward 280+, but quieter periods might cap at 220-259. Markets reflect crowdsourced volatility in Musk's unpredictable posting rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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