Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that WTI crude oil (CL) futures will hit $80 by June 30, primarily driven by persistent OPEC+ supply cuts offsetting rising US inventories and softening Chinese demand amid economic slowdown signals. Current CL trades near $77.50/bbl, down 2% weekly, as EIA data showed a 1.2 million barrel stockpile build last week, pressuring prices despite Middle East tensions supporting a geopolitical risk premium. Key catalysts ahead include Thursday's EIA inventory report and June 2 OPEC+ meeting outcomes, with traders eyeing $78 support; a break below risks sub-$75, while $82 resistance looms on demand rebound hopes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,219,240 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
62%
↑ $110
69%
↑ $105
75%
↑ $100
76%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
77%
↓ $80
63%
↓ $70
35%
↓ $60
32%
↓ $55
17%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,219,240 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
62%
↑ $110
69%
↑ $105
75%
↑ $100
76%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
77%
↓ $80
63%
↓ $70
35%
↓ $60
32%
↓ $55
17%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that WTI crude oil (CL) futures will hit $80 by June 30, primarily driven by persistent OPEC+ supply cuts offsetting rising US inventories and softening Chinese demand amid economic slowdown signals. Current CL trades near $77.50/bbl, down 2% weekly, as EIA data showed a 1.2 million barrel stockpile build last week, pressuring prices despite Middle East tensions supporting a geopolitical risk premium. Key catalysts ahead include Thursday's EIA inventory report and June 2 OPEC+ meeting outcomes, with traders eyeing $78 support; a break below risks sub-$75, while $82 resistance looms on demand rebound hopes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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