Trader sentiment on Polymarket for WTI crude oil (CL) hitting the target by June's end prices in a modest 28% implied probability on yes shares, anchored by spot prices near $81 amid recent EIA data showing a 3.9 million barrel inventory draw but persistent oversupply signals from record US output exceeding 13.2 million bpd. Key drivers include fading bullish momentum from Middle East tensions, tempered by China's sluggish demand and ample global stockpiles, with trader consensus weighing OPEC+'s likely extension of voluntary cuts announced June 2. Watch the June 26 EIA report for potential volatility; sustained draws above 2 million barrels could test upside thresholds, though Fed policy signals tomorrow reinforce recession risks capping rallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,094,520 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
48%
↑ $115
55%
↑ $110
65%
↑ $105
73%
↑ $100
73%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
81%
↓ $80
67%
↓ $70
39%
↓ $60
31%
↓ $55
18%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,094,520 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
48%
↑ $115
55%
↑ $110
65%
↑ $105
73%
↑ $100
73%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
81%
↓ $80
67%
↓ $70
39%
↓ $60
31%
↓ $55
18%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for WTI crude oil (CL) hitting the target by June's end prices in a modest 28% implied probability on yes shares, anchored by spot prices near $81 amid recent EIA data showing a 3.9 million barrel inventory draw but persistent oversupply signals from record US output exceeding 13.2 million bpd. Key drivers include fading bullish momentum from Middle East tensions, tempered by China's sluggish demand and ample global stockpiles, with trader consensus weighing OPEC+'s likely extension of voluntary cuts announced June 2. Watch the June 26 EIA report for potential volatility; sustained draws above 2 million barrels could test upside thresholds, though Fed policy signals tomorrow reinforce recession risks capping rallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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