Traders on Polymarket assign just 15% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) surpassing $90 by June 30, driven primarily by persistent US inventory builds—EIA data showed a 1.2 million barrel increase last week—and weakening Chinese demand amid property sector woes. WTI futures trade near $81.50, below key resistance at $85, with OPEC+ voluntary cuts providing only modest support amid non-OPEC supply growth from US shale. Upcoming catalysts include Thursday's EIA storage report and Fed's June 12 FOMC minutes, where hawkish tones could pressure risk assets and oil demand outlook; resolution hinges on spot CL closing above $90 on NYMEX by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,112,098 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
46%
↑ $115
55%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
73%
↑ $100
73%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
77%
↓ $80
68%
↓ $70
35%
↓ $60
33%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,112,098 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
19%
↑ $150
23%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
46%
↑ $115
55%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
73%
↑ $100
73%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
77%
↓ $80
68%
↓ $70
35%
↓ $60
33%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders on Polymarket assign just 15% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) surpassing $90 by June 30, driven primarily by persistent US inventory builds—EIA data showed a 1.2 million barrel increase last week—and weakening Chinese demand amid property sector woes. WTI futures trade near $81.50, below key resistance at $85, with OPEC+ voluntary cuts providing only modest support amid non-OPEC supply growth from US shale. Upcoming catalysts include Thursday's EIA storage report and Fed's June 12 FOMC minutes, where hawkish tones could pressure risk assets and oil demand outlook; resolution hinges on spot CL closing above $90 on NYMEX by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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