Charlie Kirk assassination 100.0%
Gaza–Israel conflict <1%
Liberation Day tariffs <1%
US government shutdown <1%
$1,000,253 Vol.
$1,000,253 Vol.
Gaza–Israel conflict
$33,902 Vol.
No
Gaza–Israel conflict
$33,902 Vol.
No
Liberation Day tariffs
$34,057 Vol.
No
Liberation Day tariffs
$34,057 Vol.
No
US government shutdown
$48,777 Vol.
No
US government shutdown
$48,777 Vol.
No
DeepSeek R1 launch
$24,895 Vol.
No
DeepSeek R1 launch
$24,895 Vol.
No
Extreme heat
$13,116 Vol.
No
Extreme heat
$13,116 Vol.
No
Israel–Iran conflict
$37,325 Vol.
No
Israel–Iran conflict
$37,325 Vol.
No
Kamchatka earthquake
$20,903 Vol.
No
Kamchatka earthquake
$20,903 Vol.
No
Air India aviation disaster
$92,972 Vol.
No
Air India aviation disaster
$92,972 Vol.
No
Philippines earthquake
$13,017 Vol.
No
Philippines earthquake
$13,017 Vol.
No
Charlie Kirk assassination
$605,763 Vol.
Yes
Charlie Kirk assassination
$605,763 Vol.
Yes
GPT-5 launch
$75,526 Vol.
No
GPT-5 launch
$75,526 Vol.
No
Rules
The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Trending → News), where the 2025 page will appear once released (the 2024 page currently shows the Global “News” ranking).
If the listed market topic and Google’s #1 topic are reasonably closely related in ordinary usage, i.e., one is an umbrella for the other, one is a specific sub-event of the other, or they are clear synonyms/aliases (including abbreviations, misspellings, or equivalent phrasing), then it counts for resolution. For example, “Rafah offensive” counts for “Gaza–Israel conflict,” and “U.S. strikes on Iran” counts for “Israel–Iran conflict.” By contrast, distinct contemporaneous topics that merely influence one another do not count for each other unless Google itself lists them as a single combined topic (e.g., “NVIDIA stock plunge” does not count for “DeepSeek R1 launch”).
This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list, or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Created At: Oct 23, 2025, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Charlie Kirk assassination 100.0%
Gaza–Israel conflict <1%
Liberation Day tariffs <1%
US government shutdown <1%
$1,000,253 Vol.
$1,000,253 Vol.
Gaza–Israel conflict
No
Liberation Day tariffs
No
US government shutdown
No
DeepSeek R1 launch
No
Extreme heat
No
Israel–Iran conflict
No
Kamchatka earthquake
No
Air India aviation disaster
No
Philippines earthquake
No
Charlie Kirk assassination
Yes
GPT-5 launch
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.