Despite nearly a month of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026—killing key leaders and targeting military sites—President Trump has authorized combat operations without a formal congressional declaration of war, invoking commander-in-chief powers amid Democratic-led War Powers Resolution challenges that failed in the House. Recent escalations include ground troop deployments after Tehran rejected a U.S. peace plan, Trump's extension of a Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, and signals of thousands more strike targets, complicating oil flows and dividing Republican support. Traders price low odds on formal declarations due to post-World War II precedents favoring executive actions over Article I requirements, with VP Vance and Secretary Rubio pursuing negotiations as potential de-escalation paths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Trump declarará la guerra a Irán antes de...?
¿Trump declarará la guerra a Irán antes de...?
$545,121 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 de marzo
2%
30 de abril
6%
$545,121 Vol.
31 de marzo
$211,212 Vol.
2%
30 de abril
$6,888 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite nearly a month of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026—killing key leaders and targeting military sites—President Trump has authorized combat operations without a formal congressional declaration of war, invoking commander-in-chief powers amid Democratic-led War Powers Resolution challenges that failed in the House. Recent escalations include ground troop deployments after Tehran rejected a U.S. peace plan, Trump's extension of a Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, and signals of thousands more strike targets, complicating oil flows and dividing Republican support. Traders price low odds on formal declarations due to post-World War II precedents favoring executive actions over Article I requirements, with VP Vance and Secretary Rubio pursuing negotiations as potential de-escalation paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volumen
$545,121Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite nearly a month of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026—killing key leaders and targeting military sites—President Trump has authorized combat operations without a formal congressional declaration of war, invoking commander-in-chief powers amid Democratic-led War Powers Resolution challenges that failed in the House. Recent escalations include ground troop deployments after Tehran rejected a U.S. peace plan, Trump's extension of a Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, and signals of thousands more strike targets, complicating oil flows and dividing Republican support. Traders price low odds on formal declarations due to post-World War II precedents favoring executive actions over Article I requirements, with VP Vance and Secretary Rubio pursuing negotiations as potential de-escalation paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$545,121Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite nearly a month of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026—killing key leaders and targeting military sites—President Trump has authorized combat operations without a formal congressional declaration of war, invoking commander-in-chief powers amid Democratic-led War Powers Resolution challenges that failed in the House. Recent escalations include ground troop deployments after Tehran rejected a U.S. peace plan, Trump's extension of a Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, and signals of thousands more strike targets, complicating oil flows and dividing Republican support. Traders price low odds on formal declarations due to post-World War II precedents favoring executive actions over Article I requirements, with VP Vance and Secretary Rubio pursuing negotiations as potential de-escalation paths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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