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Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?

Market icon

Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,332 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,332 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration.

A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$59,332
Fecha de finalización
Jun 13, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2025, 9:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration. A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope. The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration.

A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$59,332
Fecha de finalización
Jun 13, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2025, 9:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration. A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope. The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?" has generated $59.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.