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Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?

Ended: Jan 31

Apr 12

Ended: Jan 31

Apr 12

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,805 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,805 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$13,805
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$13,805
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?" ha generado $13.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Orbán cambiará a Magyar para el próximo primer ministro de Hungría antes del 31 de enero?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.