Following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8 amid Iran's escalating conflict with Israel and the US. Mojtaba narrowly escaped the same strike, reportedly by stepping into a garden moments earlier, but has since avoided all public appearances, with statements read by state media proxies. Rumors of coma, injury, or exile abroad—fueled by leaked audios and health speculation—persist, though Russia confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran for "security reasons." Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and regime fragility heighten risks of leadership flight or upheaval before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$755,144 Vol.
31 mar 2026
March 31
<1%
April 30
3%
31 de mayo
3%
30 de junio
10%
$755,144 Vol.
March 31
$657,093 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$95,150 Vol.
3%
31 de mayo
$1,282 Vol.
3%
30 de junio
$1,620 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8 amid Iran's escalating conflict with Israel and the US. Mojtaba narrowly escaped the same strike, reportedly by stepping into a garden moments earlier, but has since avoided all public appearances, with statements read by state media proxies. Rumors of coma, injury, or exile abroad—fueled by leaked audios and health speculation—persist, though Russia confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran for "security reasons." Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and regime fragility heighten risks of leadership flight or upheaval before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$755,144Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8 amid Iran's escalating conflict with Israel and the US. Mojtaba narrowly escaped the same strike, reportedly by stepping into a garden moments earlier, but has since avoided all public appearances, with statements read by state media proxies. Rumors of coma, injury, or exile abroad—fueled by leaked audios and health speculation—persist, though Russia confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran for "security reasons." Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and regime fragility heighten risks of leadership flight or upheaval before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$755,144Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8 amid Iran's escalating conflict with Israel and the US. Mojtaba narrowly escaped the same strike, reportedly by stepping into a garden moments earlier, but has since avoided all public appearances, with statements read by state media proxies. Rumors of coma, injury, or exile abroad—fueled by leaked audios and health speculation—persist, though Russia confirmed on March 31 he remains in Iran for "security reasons." Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and regime fragility heighten risks of leadership flight or upheaval before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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