Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has not appeared publicly since, prompting rumors of severe injuries or evacuation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy on March 31 confirmed he remains in Iran, citing security concerns for his absence, while dismissing death or exile speculation. Leaked audio revealed his narrow escape from the same strikes that killed top leaders, heightening regime instability amid ongoing military escalations and domestic unrest. Traders watch for public sightings, further airstrikes, or succession disputes by the Assembly of Experts that could signal flight risks before the market's resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$760,748 Vol.
30 abr 2026
April 30
3%
31 de mayo
3%
30 de junio
10%
$760,748 Vol.
April 30
$95,370 Vol.
3%
31 de mayo
$1,282 Vol.
3%
30 de junio
$1,620 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has not appeared publicly since, prompting rumors of severe injuries or evacuation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy on March 31 confirmed he remains in Iran, citing security concerns for his absence, while dismissing death or exile speculation. Leaked audio revealed his narrow escape from the same strikes that killed top leaders, heightening regime instability amid ongoing military escalations and domestic unrest. Traders watch for public sightings, further airstrikes, or succession disputes by the Assembly of Experts that could signal flight risks before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$760,748Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has not appeared publicly since, prompting rumors of severe injuries or evacuation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy on March 31 confirmed he remains in Iran, citing security concerns for his absence, while dismissing death or exile speculation. Leaked audio revealed his narrow escape from the same strikes that killed top leaders, heightening regime instability amid ongoing military escalations and domestic unrest. Traders watch for public sightings, further airstrikes, or succession disputes by the Assembly of Experts that could signal flight risks before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$760,748Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, has not appeared publicly since, prompting rumors of severe injuries or evacuation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy on March 31 confirmed he remains in Iran, citing security concerns for his absence, while dismissing death or exile speculation. Leaked audio revealed his narrow escape from the same strikes that killed top leaders, heightening regime instability amid ongoing military escalations and domestic unrest. Traders watch for public sightings, further airstrikes, or succession disputes by the Assembly of Experts that could signal flight risks before the market's resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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