Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?

$382,546 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$382,546 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$132,293 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Israel's right-wing coalition government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, includes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir who continue advocating for formal annexation of West Bank territories referred to as Judea and Samaria, with recent settlement outpost legalizations in October 2024 advancing de facto control. Following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election victory on November 5, Smotrich reiterated demands for sovereignty application, viewing it as a potential diplomatic opening amid shifting U.S. foreign policy. However, no Knesset legislation has been tabled, as Netanyahu prioritizes ongoing Gaza military operations, hostage negotiations, and ceasefire talks with Hamas. International opposition from the EU, UN, and Biden administration, plus procedural requirements for annexation laws, pose major barriers before December 31, with traders monitoring winter Knesset sessions and post-inauguration U.S. signals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 17%, seguido de "¿Israel anexará algún territorio para el 31 de diciembre?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $382.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "¿Israel anexará algún territorio para el 31 de diciembre?" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se anexionará Israel algún territorio antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.