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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Benjamin Netanyahu 45%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Gadi Eizenkot 17.4%

Yair Lapid 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,648,046 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 45%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Gadi Eizenkot 17.4%

Yair Lapid 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,648,046 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$450,636 Vol.

45%

Naftali Bennett

$781,975 Vol.

24%

Gadi Eizenkot

$492,671 Vol.

17%

Yair Lapid

$296,886 Vol.

3%

Yariv Levin

$108,409 Vol.

2%

Benny Gantz

$176,114 Vol.

2%

Avigdor Lieberman

$328,959 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$109,698 Vol.

1%

Yair Golan

$249,618 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$332,358 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$0 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$64,730 Vol.

1%

Yoaz Hendel

$0 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$255,991 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls, including a March 19 survey showing Likud at 28 seats as the largest party, position Benjamin Netanyahu as the trader-favored frontrunner at 45% implied probability to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, bolstered by steady coalition math despite ongoing Iran tensions. Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party surging to 16 seats—overtaking Naftali Bennett's list at 15 for the first time—has propelled his odds to 17.4%, reflecting his rise as the top challenger amid opposition fragmentation. Bennett holds at 24% on vows to replace Netanyahu and past unity government experience, while blocs remain deadlocked near 60 seats each, hinging on coalition negotiations post-vote.

Recent polls, including a March 19 survey showing Likud at 28 seats as the largest party, position Benjamin Netanyahu as the trader-favored frontrunner at 45% implied probability to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, bolstered by steady coalition math despite ongoing Iran tensions. Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party surging to 16 seats—overtaking Naftali Bennett's list at 15 for the first time—has propelled his odds to 17.4%, reflecting his rise as the top challenger amid opposition fragmentation. Bennett holds at 24% on vows to replace Netanyahu and past unity government experience, while blocs remain deadlocked near 60 seats each, hinging on coalition negotiations post-vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls, including a March 19 survey showing Likud at 28 seats as the largest party, position Benjamin Netanyahu as the trader-favored frontrunner at 45% implied probability to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, bolstered by steady coalition math despite ongoing Iran tensions. Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party surging to 16 seats—overtaking Naftali Bennett's list at 15 for the first time—has propelled his odds to 17.4%, reflecting his rise as the top challenger amid opposition fragmentation. Bennett holds at 24% on vows to replace Netanyahu and past unity government experience, while blocs remain deadlocked near 60 seats each, hinging on coalition negotiations post-vote.

Recent polls, including a March 19 survey showing Likud at 28 seats as the largest party, position Benjamin Netanyahu as the trader-favored frontrunner at 45% implied probability to become Israel's next prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, bolstered by steady coalition math despite ongoing Iran tensions. Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party surging to 16 seats—overtaking Naftali Bennett's list at 15 for the first time—has propelled his odds to 17.4%, reflecting his rise as the top challenger amid opposition fragmentation. Bennett holds at 24% on vows to replace Netanyahu and past unity government experience, while blocs remain deadlocked near 60 seats each, hinging on coalition negotiations post-vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 45%, seguido de "Naftali Bennett" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $3.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Naftali Bennett" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.