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Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

$1,370,047 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,370,047 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$16,692 Vol.

13%

Woody Allen

$12,167 Vol.

12%

Steve Bannon

$56,816 Vol.

11%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

10%

Kevin Spacey

$20,449 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$0 Vol.

10%

Noam Chomsky

$24,268 Vol.

9%

Harvey Weinstein

$16,848 Vol.

9%

Bill Gates

$95,458 Vol.

8%

Bill Clinton

$255,851 Vol.

8%

Michael Jackson

$150,617 Vol.

7%

Jay-Z

$447,342 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump

$128,163 Vol.

5%

Bill Cosby

$8,062 Vol.

5%

Elon Musk

$77,851 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$0 Vol.

3%

Hillary Clinton

$38,214 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,250 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has driven trader sentiment, naming prominent figures like Richard Branson, Woody Allen, and Steve Bannon in communications and flight logs near Little St. James island, yet providing no definitive new confirmations of physical visits. Market-implied probabilities remain low—trader consensus at 13% or below for all outcomes—reflecting high barriers to resolution, which demands unambiguous evidence from official sources such as the files, Ghislaine Maxwell trial records, or 2024 court unseals, distinguishing mere mentions from arrivals. Ongoing congressional reviews and media analysis could shift odds before the June 30, 2026, deadline, amid denials from high-volume outcomes like Bill Clinton and Donald Trump.

The U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has driven trader sentiment, naming prominent figures like Richard Branson, Woody Allen, and Steve Bannon in communications and flight logs near Little St. James island, yet providing no definitive new confirmations of physical visits. Market-implied probabilities remain low—trader consensus at 13% or below for all outcomes—reflecting high barriers to resolution, which demands unambiguous evidence from official sources such as the files, Ghislaine Maxwell trial records, or 2024 court unseals, distinguishing mere mentions from arrivals. Ongoing congressional reviews and media analysis could shift odds before the June 30, 2026, deadline, amid denials from high-volume outcomes like Bill Clinton and Donald Trump.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has driven trader sentiment, naming prominent figures like Richard Branson, Woody Allen, and Steve Bannon in communications and flight logs near Little St. James island, yet providing no definitive new confirmations of physical visits. Market-implied probabilities remain low—trader consensus at 13% or below for all outcomes—reflecting high barriers to resolution, which demands unambiguous evidence from official sources such as the files, Ghislaine Maxwell trial records, or 2024 court unseals, distinguishing mere mentions from arrivals. Ongoing congressional reviews and media analysis could shift odds before the June 30, 2026, deadline, amid denials from high-volume outcomes like Bill Clinton and Donald Trump.

The U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has driven trader sentiment, naming prominent figures like Richard Branson, Woody Allen, and Steve Bannon in communications and flight logs near Little St. James island, yet providing no definitive new confirmations of physical visits. Market-implied probabilities remain low—trader consensus at 13% or below for all outcomes—reflecting high barriers to resolution, which demands unambiguous evidence from official sources such as the files, Ghislaine Maxwell trial records, or 2024 court unseals, distinguishing mere mentions from arrivals. Ongoing congressional reviews and media analysis could shift odds before the June 30, 2026, deadline, amid denials from high-volume outcomes like Bill Clinton and Donald Trump.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Richard Branson" con 13%, seguido de "Woody Allen" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" ha generado $1.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es "Richard Branson" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Woody Allen" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.