Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?

Market icon

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?

$508,007 Vol.

Jan 1, 2026
Polymarket

$508,007 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Omán

$64,949 Vol.

No

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Kuwait

$43,288 Vol.

No

Market icon

Siria

$94,951 Vol.

No

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Líbano

$32,793 Vol.

No

Market icon

Arabia Saudita

$216,666 Vol.

No

Market icon

Azerbaiyán

$50,218 Vol.

No

Market icon

Indonesia

$5,141 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$508,007
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Creado en
Jun 30, 2025, 2:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Título del ítem del grupo: Omán" at 0%, followed by "Título del ítem del grupo: Kuwait" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?" has generated $508K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?" is "Título del ítem del grupo: Omán" at just 0%, with "Título del ítem del grupo: Kuwait" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham en 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.