US-Israel airstrikes continue to dominate the Iran conflict, with Israel launching a fresh wave targeting Tehran infrastructure yesterday, causing power outages, while Iran retaliated via missiles and drones on a Saudi base housing US troops two days ago, injuring over a dozen Americans. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE express frustration over Iranian attacks but have limited responses to rhetoric and proxy support, despite early March E3 (UK-France-Germany) vows for defensive actions against Iranian missiles. Pentagon deployments signal potential ground operations, yet no new countries have conducted direct strikes, leaving trader consensus skeptical of broader coalition involvement before tomorrow's March 31 cutoff amid de-escalation talks and proxy escalations like Houthi assaults on Israel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$10,839,275 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
EAU
4%
Arabia Saudita
3%
Qatar
2%
Bahréin
2%
Kuwait
2%
Jordania
1%
Reino Unido
1%
Turquía
1%
Cualquier país de la UE
1%
Francia
1%
Omán
1%
Alemania
<1%
Canadá
<1%
$10,839,275 Vol.
EAU
$2,854,117 Vol.
4%
Arabia Saudita
$2,208,425 Vol.
3%
Qatar
$946,291 Vol.
2%
Bahréin
$392,924 Vol.
2%
Kuwait
$211,658 Vol.
2%
Jordania
$189,690 Vol.
1%
Reino Unido
$948,392 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$481,803 Vol.
1%
Cualquier país de la UE
$473,070 Vol.
1%
Francia
$750,286 Vol.
1%
Omán
$132,076 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$912,746 Vol.
<1%
Canadá
$339,708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Israel airstrikes continue to dominate the Iran conflict, with Israel launching a fresh wave targeting Tehran infrastructure yesterday, causing power outages, while Iran retaliated via missiles and drones on a Saudi base housing US troops two days ago, injuring over a dozen Americans. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE express frustration over Iranian attacks but have limited responses to rhetoric and proxy support, despite early March E3 (UK-France-Germany) vows for defensive actions against Iranian missiles. Pentagon deployments signal potential ground operations, yet no new countries have conducted direct strikes, leaving trader consensus skeptical of broader coalition involvement before tomorrow's March 31 cutoff amid de-escalation talks and proxy escalations like Houthi assaults on Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$10,839,275Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Israel airstrikes continue to dominate the Iran conflict, with Israel launching a fresh wave targeting Tehran infrastructure yesterday, causing power outages, while Iran retaliated via missiles and drones on a Saudi base housing US troops two days ago, injuring over a dozen Americans. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE express frustration over Iranian attacks but have limited responses to rhetoric and proxy support, despite early March E3 (UK-France-Germany) vows for defensive actions against Iranian missiles. Pentagon deployments signal potential ground operations, yet no new countries have conducted direct strikes, leaving trader consensus skeptical of broader coalition involvement before tomorrow's March 31 cutoff amid de-escalation talks and proxy escalations like Houthi assaults on Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,839,275Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israel airstrikes continue to dominate the Iran conflict, with Israel launching a fresh wave targeting Tehran infrastructure yesterday, causing power outages, while Iran retaliated via missiles and drones on a Saudi base housing US troops two days ago, injuring over a dozen Americans. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE express frustration over Iranian attacks but have limited responses to rhetoric and proxy support, despite early March E3 (UK-France-Germany) vows for defensive actions against Iranian missiles. Pentagon deployments signal potential ground operations, yet no new countries have conducted direct strikes, leaving trader consensus skeptical of broader coalition involvement before tomorrow's March 31 cutoff amid de-escalation talks and proxy escalations like Houthi assaults on Israel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes