US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,255,942 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 de marzo
1%
30 de junio
15%
$1,255,942 Vol.
31 de marzo
$2,432 Vol.
1%
30 de junio
$173,421 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,255,942Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,255,942Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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