Jerri Green dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her established profile as a sitting state representative from Memphis and early campaign launch in April 2024, giving her a fundraising and name recognition edge over challengers. With no major developments like new high-profile entrants, endorsements, or polls in the past 30 days, markets reflect her incumbency advantage in the state legislature amid a sparse field. Carnita Atwater trails at 8.5% on grassroots activism, while Adam Kurtz and Tim Cyr hover below 5% due to limited visibility. The August 2026 primary remains distant, leaving room for shifts if stronger candidates emerge or resources mobilize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoJerri Green 83%
Carnita Atwater 9%
Adam Kurtz 5.6%
Tim Cyr 4.0%
$25,720 Vol.
$25,720 Vol.
Jerri Green
83%
Carnita Atwater
9%
Adam Kurtz
6%
Tim Cyr
4%
Jerri Green 83%
Carnita Atwater 9%
Adam Kurtz 5.6%
Tim Cyr 4.0%
$25,720 Vol.
$25,720 Vol.
Jerri Green
83%
Carnita Atwater
9%
Adam Kurtz
6%
Tim Cyr
4%
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerri Green dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her established profile as a sitting state representative from Memphis and early campaign launch in April 2024, giving her a fundraising and name recognition edge over challengers. With no major developments like new high-profile entrants, endorsements, or polls in the past 30 days, markets reflect her incumbency advantage in the state legislature amid a sparse field. Carnita Atwater trails at 8.5% on grassroots activism, while Adam Kurtz and Tim Cyr hover below 5% due to limited visibility. The August 2026 primary remains distant, leaving room for shifts if stronger candidates emerge or resources mobilize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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