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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Claire Valdez 69%

Antonio Reynoso 26%

Julie Won 6.6%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$133,119 Vol.

Claire Valdez 69%

Antonio Reynoso 26%

Julie Won 6.6%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$133,119 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$16,662 Vol.

69%

Antonio Reynoso

$13,869 Vol.

26%

Julie Won

$10,589 Vol.

7%

Kristen Gonzalez

$27,694 Vol.

<1%

Lincoln Restler

$8,809 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$27,194 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$10,169 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$10,022 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the NY-07 Democratic primary market at 69 percent trader consensus ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 27 percent, reflecting the impact of her Democratic Socialists of America endorsement and strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani in a race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez. The June 23 primary features a contest between Valdez's progressive coalition, which includes labor support from the United Auto Workers, and Reynoso's institutional advantages, including Velázquez's endorsement and broader labor union alignments. A June 3 debate among Valdez, Reynoso, and Julie Won, who sits at 8 percent, highlighted policy differences but did not appear to shift the frontrunner dynamic with early voting beginning June 13. The market's pricing aligns with the compressed timeline and the weight of high-profile endorsements in this Brooklyn-Queens district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$133,119
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the NY-07 Democratic primary market at 69 percent trader consensus ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 27 percent, reflecting the impact of her Democratic Socialists of America endorsement and strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani in a race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez. The June 23 primary features a contest between Valdez's progressive coalition, which includes labor support from the United Auto Workers, and Reynoso's institutional advantages, including Velázquez's endorsement and broader labor union alignments. A June 3 debate among Valdez, Reynoso, and Julie Won, who sits at 8 percent, highlighted policy differences but did not appear to shift the frontrunner dynamic with early voting beginning June 13. The market's pricing aligns with the compressed timeline and the weight of high-profile endorsements in this Brooklyn-Queens district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$133,119
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Claire Valdez" con 69%, seguido de "Antonio Reynoso" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" ha generado $133.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es "Claire Valdez" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Antonio Reynoso" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.