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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07

Claire Valdez 76%

Antonio Reynoso 19%

Julie Won 5.7%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$88,938 Vol.

Claire Valdez 76%

Antonio Reynoso 19%

Julie Won 5.7%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$88,938 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$6,574 Vol.

76%

Antonio Reynoso

$5,940 Vol.

19%

Julie Won

$3,298 Vol.

6%

Lincoln Restler

$4,596 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$24,348 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$6,550 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$5,740 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$24,101 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$7,791 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Queens Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 75% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her explosive grassroots fundraising—$750,000 from over 11,000 small donors in the first reporting period—and fresh endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2, NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Democratic Socialists of America, and Justice Democrats. This momentum suits the district's progressive lean, where Mamdani posted his largest primary margin. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds second at 20% with establishment support including Queens County Democrats' February nod and Rep. Pat Ryan's March backing, though a recent Data for Progress poll shows him edging Valdez 28%-24% amid 46% undecided voters. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 5%, with others negligible as the field consolidates ahead of the contest replacing retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$88,938
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Queens Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 75% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her explosive grassroots fundraising—$750,000 from over 11,000 small donors in the first reporting period—and fresh endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2, NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Democratic Socialists of America, and Justice Democrats. This momentum suits the district's progressive lean, where Mamdani posted his largest primary margin. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds second at 20% with establishment support including Queens County Democrats' February nod and Rep. Pat Ryan's March backing, though a recent Data for Progress poll shows him edging Valdez 28%-24% amid 46% undecided voters. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 5%, with others negligible as the field consolidates ahead of the contest replacing retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$88,938
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Claire Valdez" con 76%, seguido de "Antonio Reynoso" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" ha generado $88.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" es "Claire Valdez" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Antonio Reynoso" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-07" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.