Trader consensus heavily favors former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms at 84.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong name recognition and recent high-profile role as co-chair of Kamala Harris's 2024 presidential campaign, which boosted her visibility among party voters. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan trails at 9.5%, buoyed by his public breaks from Trump but facing hurdles in a Democratic primary due to his partisan history. State Sen. Jason Esteves garners 5%, supported by legislative experience. No candidate filings, polls, or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the May 2026 primary, leaving the field open to shifts from new entrants or early momentum builders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKeisha Lance Bottoms 85%
Geoff Duncan 10%
Jason Esteves 5%
Mike Thurmond 1.1%
$68,821 Vol.
$68,821 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
85%
Geoff Duncan
10%
Jason Esteves
5%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%
Geoff Duncan 10%
Jason Esteves 5%
Mike Thurmond 1.1%
$68,821 Vol.
$68,821 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
85%
Geoff Duncan
10%
Jason Esteves
5%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms at 84.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong name recognition and recent high-profile role as co-chair of Kamala Harris's 2024 presidential campaign, which boosted her visibility among party voters. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan trails at 9.5%, buoyed by his public breaks from Trump but facing hurdles in a Democratic primary due to his partisan history. State Sen. Jason Esteves garners 5%, supported by legislative experience. No candidate filings, polls, or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the May 2026 primary, leaving the field open to shifts from new entrants or early momentum builders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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