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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,026 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,026 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$17,026 Vol.

85%

Geoff Duncan

$0 Vol.

10%

Jason Esteves

$0 Vol.

5%

Mike Thurmond

$0 Vol.

1%

Ruwa Romman

$0 Vol.

1%

Derrick Jackson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$17,026
Fecha de finalización
May 19, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Keisha Lance Bottoms" con 85%, seguido de "Geoff Duncan" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia" ha generado $17K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia" es "Keisha Lance Bottoms" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Geoff Duncan" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Georgia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.