The compressed three-week campaign following Lindsey Graham's death has produced a crowded Republican field for South Carolina's August 11 special primary, with no candidate approaching a majority and recent polls showing Darline Graham Nordone leading but still below 30 percent amid roughly 23 percent undecided voters. Trump's endorsement of Nordone has lifted her position in trader pricing relative to rivals such as Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, yet the short timeline, name recognition advantages for several sitting officials, and high undecided share keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading contenders. A runoff on August 25 remains likely, sustaining uncertainty until late shifts in turnout or endorsements can separate the top two finishers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDarline Graham Nordone 46.1%
Russell Fry 26.2%
Ralph Norman 25%
Mark Sanford 2.8%
$844,390 Vol.
$844,390 Vol.
Darline Graham Nordone
46%
Russell Fry
26%
Ralph Norman
25%
Mark Sanford
3%
Nancy Mace
<1%
Joe Wilson
<1%
Mark Lynch
<1%
Paul Dans
<1%
William Timmons
<1%
Sheri Biggs
<1%
Pamela Evette
<1%
André Bauer
<1%
Alan Wilson
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
Trey Gowdy
<1%
Darline Graham Nordone 46.1%
Russell Fry 26.2%
Ralph Norman 25%
Mark Sanford 2.8%
$844,390 Vol.
$844,390 Vol.
Darline Graham Nordone
46%
Russell Fry
26%
Ralph Norman
25%
Mark Sanford
3%
Nancy Mace
<1%
Joe Wilson
<1%
Mark Lynch
<1%
Paul Dans
<1%
William Timmons
<1%
Sheri Biggs
<1%
Pamela Evette
<1%
André Bauer
<1%
Alan Wilson
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
Trey Gowdy
<1%
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The compressed three-week campaign following Lindsey Graham's death has produced a crowded Republican field for South Carolina's August 11 special primary, with no candidate approaching a majority and recent polls showing Darline Graham Nordone leading but still below 30 percent amid roughly 23 percent undecided voters. Trump's endorsement of Nordone has lifted her position in trader pricing relative to rivals such as Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, yet the short timeline, name recognition advantages for several sitting officials, and high undecided share keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading contenders. A runoff on August 25 remains likely, sustaining uncertainty until late shifts in turnout or endorsements can separate the top two finishers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
¿Ralph Norman quedará en segundo lugar en la primera vuelta de la primaria especial republicana al Senado en Carolina del Sur?
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 10–15%?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes