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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 77%

Adam Schwarze 13.7%

Mike Ruoho 5.6%

Raymond Petersen 4.3%

Polymarket

$28,751 Vol.

Michele Tafoya 77%

Adam Schwarze 13.7%

Mike Ruoho 5.6%

Raymond Petersen 4.3%

Polymarket

$28,751 Vol.

Michele Tafoya

$1,586 Vol.

77%

Adam Schwarze

$0 Vol.

14%

Mike Ruoho

$0 Vol.

6%

Raymond Petersen

$0 Vol.

4%

Alycia Gruenhagen

$0 Vol.

4%

Royce White

$0 Vol.

3%

Christopher Brooks

$1,242 Vol.

2%

David Hann

$21,664 Vol.

1%

Tom Weiler

$0 Vol.

1%

Jim Nash

$0 Vol.

1%

Julia Coleman

$4,258 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors former ESPN broadcaster Michele Tafoya as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary winner, reflecting her dominant lead in a February NRSC poll among GOP voters—conducted shortly after her January campaign launch—bolstered by National Republican Senatorial Committee backing and statewide name recognition. Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze trails as a strong second, gaining traction through grassroots efforts, including a March Tea Party Patriots straw poll victory over Tafoya. Recent tensions arise from Tafoya's refusal to pledge honoring the May state convention endorsement, potentially forcing an August 11 open primary amid criticism from populists like Royce White. These dynamics highlight establishment vs. activist divides shaping the crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$28,751
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors former ESPN broadcaster Michele Tafoya as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary winner, reflecting her dominant lead in a February NRSC poll among GOP voters—conducted shortly after her January campaign launch—bolstered by National Republican Senatorial Committee backing and statewide name recognition. Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze trails as a strong second, gaining traction through grassroots efforts, including a March Tea Party Patriots straw poll victory over Tafoya. Recent tensions arise from Tafoya's refusal to pledge honoring the May state convention endorsement, potentially forcing an August 11 open primary amid criticism from populists like Royce White. These dynamics highlight establishment vs. activist divides shaping the crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$28,751
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Michele Tafoya" con 78%, seguido de "Adam Schwarze" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" ha generado $28.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" es "Michele Tafoya" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Adam Schwarze" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.