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Mundo·Asuntos Mundiales

¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

Market icon
Mundo·Asuntos Mundiales

¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

$127,959 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$127,959 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$34,460 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority government in the Congress of Deputies, reliant on abstentions or votes from regional parties like Junts per Catalunya and ERC following the narrow passage of a controversial amnesty law for Catalan separatists in 2023–2024, which continues to fuel nationwide protests led by the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent polls show PP under Alberto Núñez Feijóo maintaining a national lead over PSOE, amid budget negotiations for 2025 that could test coalition support; failure might prompt a no-confidence vote or snap election call. No snap election has been announced, but trader consensus reflects uncertainty over government stability through key procedural votes in coming months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$127,959
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority government in the Congress of Deputies, reliant on abstentions or votes from regional parties like Junts per Catalunya and ERC following the narrow passage of a controversial amnesty law for Catalan separatists in 2023–2024, which continues to fuel nationwide protests led by the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent polls show PP under Alberto Núñez Feijóo maintaining a national lead over PSOE, amid budget negotiations for 2025 that could test coalition support; failure might prompt a no-confidence vote or snap election call. No snap election has been announced, but trader consensus reflects uncertainty over government stability through key procedural votes in coming months.

Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority government in the Congress of Deputies, reliant on abstentions or votes from regional parties like Junts per Catalunya and ERC following the narrow passage of a controversial amnesty law for Catalan separatists in 2023–2024, which continues to fuel nationwide protests led by the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent polls show PP under Alberto Núñez Feijóo maintaining a national lead over PSOE, amid budget negotiations for 2025 that could test coalition support; failure might prompt a no-confidence vote or snap election call. No snap election has been announced, but trader consensus reflects uncertainty over government stability through key procedural votes in coming months.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 12%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2025" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" ha generado $128K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 28, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de diciembre de 2025" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.