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icon for ¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

icon for ¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?

$174,651 Vol.

31 dic 2025
Polymarket

$174,651 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$81,153 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government led by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to face polling weakness and regional setbacks, including PSOE defeats in Extremadura in December 2025 and Andalusia in May 2026, alongside a broader rightward shift favoring the PP-Vox bloc in multiple 2026 contests. Persistent corruption investigations targeting party figures and allies have intensified opposition calls for early polls, while coalition frictions with Junts and uncertainties around the 2026 budget add pressure. Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to serve the full term ending no later than August 2027, and no successful motion of no confidence or withdrawal of key external support has occurred. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of dissolution before year-end, though any escalation in parliamentary instability or major scandal could alter the outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$174,651
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government led by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez continues to face polling weakness and regional setbacks, including PSOE defeats in Extremadura in December 2025 and Andalusia in May 2026, alongside a broader rightward shift favoring the PP-Vox bloc in multiple 2026 contests. Persistent corruption investigations targeting party figures and allies have intensified opposition calls for early polls, while coalition frictions with Junts and uncertainties around the 2026 budget add pressure. Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to serve the full term ending no later than August 2027, and no successful motion of no confidence or withdrawal of key external support has occurred. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of dissolution before year-end, though any escalation in parliamentary instability or major scandal could alter the outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$174,651
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 4%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2025" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 4¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" ha generado $174.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 28, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con solo 4%, con "31 de diciembre de 2025" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.