Traders price "No" at 71.5% for a Spain snap election called in 2026, reflecting the stability of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's PSOE-led minority government in the Cortes, which has secured passage of the 2025 budget through negotiations with regional parties like PNV and Junts. The opposition PP's repeated calls for early elections have failed to gain momentum, especially after PSC's strong win in Catalonia's May 2024 snap regional vote bolstered Sánchez's position. No active no-confidence motions or major coalition breakdowns have emerged in recent months, with Spain's economy showing steady growth amid EU recovery funds. While fiscal deadlines or regional tensions could prompt shifts, the full parliamentary term until mid-2027 remains the baseline expectation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$10,395 Vol.
$10,395 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Sí
$10,395 Vol.
$10,395 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders price "No" at 71.5% for a Spain snap election called in 2026, reflecting the stability of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's PSOE-led minority government in the Cortes, which has secured passage of the 2025 budget through negotiations with regional parties like PNV and Junts. The opposition PP's repeated calls for early elections have failed to gain momentum, especially after PSC's strong win in Catalonia's May 2024 snap regional vote bolstered Sánchez's position. No active no-confidence motions or major coalition breakdowns have emerged in recent months, with Spain's economy showing steady growth amid EU recovery funds. While fiscal deadlines or regional tensions could prompt shifts, the full parliamentary term until mid-2027 remains the baseline expectation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volumen
$10,395Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders price "No" at 71.5% for a Spain snap election called in 2026, reflecting the stability of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's PSOE-led minority government in the Cortes, which has secured passage of the 2025 budget through negotiations with regional parties like PNV and Junts. The opposition PP's repeated calls for early elections have failed to gain momentum, especially after PSC's strong win in Catalonia's May 2024 snap regional vote bolstered Sánchez's position. No active no-confidence motions or major coalition breakdowns have emerged in recent months, with Spain's economy showing steady growth amid EU recovery funds. While fiscal deadlines or regional tensions could prompt shifts, the full parliamentary term until mid-2027 remains the baseline expectation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,395Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price "No" at 71.5% for a Spain snap election called in 2026, reflecting the stability of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's PSOE-led minority government in the Cortes, which has secured passage of the 2025 budget through negotiations with regional parties like PNV and Junts. The opposition PP's repeated calls for early elections have failed to gain momentum, especially after PSC's strong win in Catalonia's May 2024 snap regional vote bolstered Sánchez's position. No active no-confidence motions or major coalition breakdowns have emerged in recent months, with Spain's economy showing steady growth amid EU recovery funds. While fiscal deadlines or regional tensions could prompt shifts, the full parliamentary term until mid-2027 remains the baseline expectation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes