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¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?

Market icon

¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?

29% chance
Polymarket

$10,395 Vol.

29% chance
Polymarket

$10,395 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government has solidified stability by passing the 2025 national budget on November 27, 2024, securing votes from PNV, EH Bildu, and other allies despite PP opposition. This fiscal success, following the amnesty law's implementation and return of Catalan leaders like Carles Puigdemont, reinforces coalition pacts critical for legislative survival. No recent no-confidence motions, parliamentary defeats, or Sánchez statements signal a snap election—whereby the prime minister dissolves the Cortes before the scheduled 2027 vote. Traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects this low disruption risk, with historical patterns showing such governments enduring absent major crises. Upcoming regional polls may test support but lack direct snap election triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,395
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government has solidified stability by passing the 2025 national budget on November 27, 2024, securing votes from PNV, EH Bildu, and other allies despite PP opposition. This fiscal success, following the amnesty law's implementation and return of Catalan leaders like Carles Puigdemont, reinforces coalition pacts critical for legislative survival. No recent no-confidence motions, parliamentary defeats, or Sánchez statements signal a snap election—whereby the prime minister dissolves the Cortes before the scheduled 2027 vote. Traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects this low disruption risk, with historical patterns showing such governments enduring absent major crises. Upcoming regional polls may test support but lack direct snap election triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,395
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Elecciones anticipadas convocadas en España en 2026?" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 29¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?" ha generado $10.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?" es "¿Elecciones anticipadas convocadas en España en 2026?" con 29%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones anticipadas en España convocadas en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.