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icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$1,440 Vol.

No

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$34,780 Vol.

No

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$542,346 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$453 Vol.

No

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$36,610 Vol.

No

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$10,552 Vol.

No

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$563 Vol.

No

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$425 Vol.

No

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$431 Vol.

No

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$442 Vol.

No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$628,043
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$628,043
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Darline Graham Nordone" con 100%, seguido de "Duke Buckner" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" ha generado $628K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" es "Darline Graham Nordone" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Duke Buckner" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.