U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll released April 2 showing him leading by 42 points among likely GOP primary voters, with distant rivals at 4% or less. His edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, shattering the non-incumbent Q1 fundraising record, and new backing from three Florida House members this week, bolstering his conservative credentials on border security and economic issues amid Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limits. While dominant, odds could shift with a high-profile entrant like a DeSantis ally, late scandal, or primary vote surprises before the August 2026 contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida
Byron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.2%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,235,830 Vol.
$1,235,830 Vol.
Byron Donalds
91%
James Fishback
8%
Jay Collins
1%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
Byron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.2%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,235,830 Vol.
$1,235,830 Vol.
Byron Donalds
91%
James Fishback
8%
Jay Collins
1%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll released April 2 showing him leading by 42 points among likely GOP primary voters, with distant rivals at 4% or less. His edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, shattering the non-incumbent Q1 fundraising record, and new backing from three Florida House members this week, bolstering his conservative credentials on border security and economic issues amid Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limits. While dominant, odds could shift with a high-profile entrant like a DeSantis ally, late scandal, or primary vote surprises before the August 2026 contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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