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Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

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Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

Byron Donalds 91%

James Fishback 8%

Jay Collins 1.2%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,235,830 Vol.

Byron Donalds 91%

James Fishback 8%

Jay Collins 1.2%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,235,830 Vol.

Byron Donalds

$86,855 Vol.

91%

James Fishback

$301,036 Vol.

8%

Jay Collins

$615,272 Vol.

1%

Casey DeSantis

$170,205 Vol.

<1%

Wilton Simpson

$14,855 Vol.

<1%

Matt Gaetz

$21,150 Vol.

<1%

Jimmy Patronis

$26,456 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll released April 2 showing him leading by 42 points among likely GOP primary voters, with distant rivals at 4% or less. His edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, shattering the non-incumbent Q1 fundraising record, and new backing from three Florida House members this week, bolstering his conservative credentials on border security and economic issues amid Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limits. While dominant, odds could shift with a high-profile entrant like a DeSantis ally, late scandal, or primary vote surprises before the August 2026 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,235,830
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll released April 2 showing him leading by 42 points among likely GOP primary voters, with distant rivals at 4% or less. His edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, shattering the non-incumbent Q1 fundraising record, and new backing from three Florida House members this week, bolstering his conservative credentials on border security and economic issues amid Gov. Ron DeSantis' term limits. While dominant, odds could shift with a high-profile entrant like a DeSantis ally, late scandal, or primary vote surprises before the August 2026 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,235,830
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Byron Donalds" con 91%, seguido de "James Fishback" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es "Byron Donalds" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "James Fishback" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.