Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm of precipitation in Seoul for March (99.6% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) preliminary monthly summary released late March 31, confirming verified gauge measurements totaling approximately 42mm at the official Seoul station—aligning closely with the 30-year climatological average of 37-47mm. This drier-than-peak-spring outcome reflects sporadic light rains from frontal systems in early and late March (5-10mm each episode), amid mostly stable high-pressure patterns limiting widespread moisture. Key upcoming KMA final audit could challenge this if gauge recalibrations or snow-melt equivalency adjustments reveal discrepancies exceeding 5mm, though such revisions are rare for settled monthly totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
40-45 mm 99.6%
45-50mm <1%
30-35 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<30 mm
<1%
30-35 mm
1%
35-40 mm
<1%
40-45 mm
100%
45-50mm
1%
50-55 mm
<1%
55-60 mm
<1%
60 mm+
<1%
40-45 mm 99.6%
45-50mm <1%
30-35 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<30 mm
$34,840 Vol.
<1%
30-35 mm
$3,242 Vol.
1%
35-40 mm
$4,690 Vol.
<1%
40-45 mm
$4,855 Vol.
100%
45-50mm
$1,441 Vol.
1%
50-55 mm
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
55-60 mm
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
60 mm+
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm of precipitation in Seoul for March (99.6% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) preliminary monthly summary released late March 31, confirming verified gauge measurements totaling approximately 42mm at the official Seoul station—aligning closely with the 30-year climatological average of 37-47mm. This drier-than-peak-spring outcome reflects sporadic light rains from frontal systems in early and late March (5-10mm each episode), amid mostly stable high-pressure patterns limiting widespread moisture. Key upcoming KMA final audit could challenge this if gauge recalibrations or snow-melt equivalency adjustments reveal discrepancies exceeding 5mm, though such revisions are rare for settled monthly totals.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volumen
$54,212Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm of precipitation in Seoul for March (99.6% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) preliminary monthly summary released late March 31, confirming verified gauge measurements totaling approximately 42mm at the official Seoul station—aligning closely with the 30-year climatological average of 37-47mm. This drier-than-peak-spring outcome reflects sporadic light rains from frontal systems in early and late March (5-10mm each episode), amid mostly stable high-pressure patterns limiting widespread moisture. Key upcoming KMA final audit could challenge this if gauge recalibrations or snow-melt equivalency adjustments reveal discrepancies exceeding 5mm, though such revisions are rare for settled monthly totals.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$54,212Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm of precipitation in Seoul for March (99.6% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) preliminary monthly summary released late March 31, confirming verified gauge measurements totaling approximately 42mm at the official Seoul station—aligning closely with the 30-year climatological average of 37-47mm. This drier-than-peak-spring outcome reflects sporadic light rains from frontal systems in early and late March (5-10mm each episode), amid mostly stable high-pressure patterns limiting widespread moisture. Key upcoming KMA final audit could challenge this if gauge recalibrations or snow-melt equivalency adjustments reveal discrepancies exceeding 5mm, though such revisions are rare for settled monthly totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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