Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan's dominant position in Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, reflected in trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic win, stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys from Emerson and RMG Research, alongside her strong fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $300,000 for Republican challenger Neil Young. The district's Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+6) and Houlahan's history of landslide victories, including 55% in 2022, solidify this edge amid suburban Philadelphia voter preferences for her moderate stance on issues like abortion rights and border security. With early voting underway ahead of November 5, scenarios like a late Republican turnout surge, Houlahan scandal, or national GOP wave could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan's dominant position in Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, reflected in trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic win, stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys from Emerson and RMG Research, alongside her strong fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $300,000 for Republican challenger Neil Young. The district's Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+6) and Houlahan's history of landslide victories, including 55% in 2022, solidify this edge amid suburban Philadelphia voter preferences for her moderate stance on issues like abortion rights and border security. With early voting underway ahead of November 5, scenarios like a late Republican turnout surge, Houlahan scandal, or national GOP wave could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan's dominant position in Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, reflected in trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic win, stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys from Emerson and RMG Research, alongside her strong fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $300,000 for Republican challenger Neil Young. The district's Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+6) and Houlahan's history of landslide victories, including 55% in 2022, solidify this edge amid suburban Philadelphia voter preferences for her moderate stance on issues like abortion rights and border security. With early voting underway ahead of November 5, scenarios like a late Republican turnout surge, Houlahan scandal, or national GOP wave could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan's dominant position in Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, reflected in trader consensus at 92% for a Democratic win, stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys from Emerson and RMG Research, alongside her strong fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $300,000 for Republican challenger Neil Young. The district's Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+6) and Houlahan's history of landslide victories, including 55% in 2022, solidify this edge amid suburban Philadelphia voter preferences for her moderate stance on issues like abortion rights and border security. With early voting underway ahead of November 5, scenarios like a late Republican turnout surge, Houlahan scandal, or national GOP wave could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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