Tight hypothetical matchups in recent polls, such as Emerson College's October survey showing Republican Secretary of State Frank LaRose edging Democrat Amy Acton 46%-44%, underpin the razor-thin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51.5% over Republicans at 48.5% for Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. Ohio's Republican lean, with Trump winning by 8 points in 2020, clashes with competitive generic ballots and Democratic primary contenders like former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley and ex-Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley challenging Acton. Undeveloped primary fields—GOP features Treasurer Robert Sprague alongside LaRose—keep probabilities compressed amid fundraising races and national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes on March 17, 2026, or 2024 federal results could widen leads by clarifying nominees and voter enthusiasm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Ohio
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Ohio
$67,011 Vol.
$67,011 Vol.

Demócrata
51%

Republicano
49%
$67,011 Vol.
$67,011 Vol.

Demócrata
51%

Republicano
49%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tight hypothetical matchups in recent polls, such as Emerson College's October survey showing Republican Secretary of State Frank LaRose edging Democrat Amy Acton 46%-44%, underpin the razor-thin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51.5% over Republicans at 48.5% for Ohio's 2026 gubernatorial race. Ohio's Republican lean, with Trump winning by 8 points in 2020, clashes with competitive generic ballots and Democratic primary contenders like former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley and ex-Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley challenging Acton. Undeveloped primary fields—GOP features Treasurer Robert Sprague alongside LaRose—keep probabilities compressed amid fundraising races and national midterm dynamics. Primary outcomes on March 17, 2026, or 2024 federal results could widen leads by clarifying nominees and voter enthusiasm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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