Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-14
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-14
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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