Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24—the 12th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win the House seat, reinforced by incumbent David Taylor's 73.6% landslide in 2024 and strong fundraising position with over $410,000 cash on hand. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the district's deep-red status, while the February conviction and withdrawal of Democratic primary candidate Brian Kenderes for false voter registration has thinned the opposition field ahead of the May 5 primaries, where Taylor faces token GOP challenger Bob Carr and Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete. Though solid ratings from Cook Political Report and others signal low competitiveness, scenarios like a major Taylor scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm Democratic surge could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-02
$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$18,651 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24—the 12th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win the House seat, reinforced by incumbent David Taylor's 73.6% landslide in 2024 and strong fundraising position with over $410,000 cash on hand. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the district's deep-red status, while the February conviction and withdrawal of Democratic primary candidate Brian Kenderes for false voter registration has thinned the opposition field ahead of the May 5 primaries, where Taylor faces token GOP challenger Bob Carr and Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete. Though solid ratings from Cook Political Report and others signal low competitiveness, scenarios like a major Taylor scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm Democratic surge could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$18,651Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24—the 12th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win the House seat, reinforced by incumbent David Taylor's 73.6% landslide in 2024 and strong fundraising position with over $410,000 cash on hand. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the district's deep-red status, while the February conviction and withdrawal of Democratic primary candidate Brian Kenderes for false voter registration has thinned the opposition field ahead of the May 5 primaries, where Taylor faces token GOP challenger Bob Carr and Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete. Though solid ratings from Cook Political Report and others signal low competitiveness, scenarios like a major Taylor scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm Democratic surge could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,651Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24—the 12th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win the House seat, reinforced by incumbent David Taylor's 73.6% landslide in 2024 and strong fundraising position with over $410,000 cash on hand. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the district's deep-red status, while the February conviction and withdrawal of Democratic primary candidate Brian Kenderes for false voter registration has thinned the opposition field ahead of the May 5 primaries, where Taylor faces token GOP challenger Bob Carr and Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete. Though solid ratings from Cook Political Report and others signal low competitiveness, scenarios like a major Taylor scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm Democratic surge could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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