Próximo país en el que Estados Unidos at
Próximo país en el que Estados Unidos at
Somalia 100.0%
Siria <1%
México <1%
Irak <1%
$15,212,508 Vol.
$15,212,508 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Siria
No
México
No
Irak
No
Nigeria
No
Otro
No
Somalia
Sí
Irán
No
Yemen
No
Cuba
No
Venezuela
No
Ninguno antes de 2027
No
Colombia
No
Somalia 100.0%
Siria <1%
México <1%
Irak <1%
$15,212,508 Vol.
$15,212,508 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Siria
$240,596 Vol.
No
México
$127,450 Vol.
No
Irak
$144,192 Vol.
No
Nigeria
$83,094 Vol.
No
Otro
$138,002 Vol.
No
Somalia
$12,430,945 Vol.
Sí
Irán
$1,174,637 Vol.
No
Yemen
$116,852 Vol.
No
Cuba
$188,818 Vol.
No
Venezuela
$96,600 Vol.
No
Ninguno antes de 2027
$368,633 Vol.
No
Colombia
$102,689 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will remain open until 5:00 PM ET on the day following the announced/reported strike in order to account for the possibility of an earlier strike.
In cases where the precise time of a strike is not confirmed by U.S. government sources the following standards will be applied:
If a strike is announced as happening on a specified date without an exact time, the market will resolve based on the time of the strike based on a consensus of credible reporting. If the timing of the strike cannot be determined by a consensus of credible reporting by 5:00 PM ET on the day following the initial announcement/reporting, the strike will be considered to have occurred on the reported date at 12:00 PM in the time zone in which the strike occurred.
In the case of multiple strikes being announced/reported to have occurred on the same date, with a lack of a precise time being reported for one or multiple of the strikes, a consensus of credible reporting establishing which strike occurred first may be used to resolve the market even if the precise times of the strike(s) aren’t known.
If no consensus of the order of the strikes exists, the market will resolve based on assuming a strike time of 12 PM local time (on the listed strike date) for any strike without a published time.
If a tie still persists due to a shared time zone, the market will resolve according to the order they were announced in.
If publication timestamps are identical or cannot be reliably compared, the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the struck countries listed names.
The primary resolution source will be official public statements or publications by the U.S. government (including but not limited to AFRICOM, CENTCOM, EUCOM, INDOPACOM, SOCOM, the Department of Defense, the White House, or other U.S. agencies). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
RSS and transient postings: RSS entries, cached snippets, archives, or temporary/removed webpages will not alone qualify.This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will remain open until 5:00 PM ET on the day following the announced/reported strike in order to account for the possibility of an earlier strike.
In cases where the precise time of a strike is not confirmed by U.S. government sources the following standards will be applied:
If a strike is announced as happening on a specified date without an exact time, the market will resolve based on the time of the strike based on a consensus of credible reporting. If the timing of the strike cannot be determined by a consensus of credible reporting by 5:00 PM ET on the day following the initial announcement/reporting, the strike will be considered to have occurred on the reported date at 12:00 PM in the time zone in which the strike occurred.
In the case of multiple strikes being announced/reported to have occurred on the same date, with a lack of a precise time being reported for one or multiple of the strikes, a consensus of credible reporting establishing which strike occurred first may be used to resolve the market even if the precise times of the strike(s) aren’t known.
If no consensus of the order of the strikes exists, the market will resolve based on assuming a strike time of 12 PM local time (on the listed strike date) for any strike without a published time.
If a tie still persists due to a shared time zone, the market will resolve according to the order they were announced in.
If publication timestamps are identical or cannot be reliably compared, the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the struck countries listed names.
The primary resolution source will be official public statements or publications by the U.S. government (including but not limited to AFRICOM, CENTCOM, EUCOM, INDOPACOM, SOCOM, the Department of Defense, the White House, or other U.S. agencies). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
RSS and transient postings: RSS entries, cached snippets, archives, or temporary/removed webpages will not alone qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will remain open until 5:00 PM ET on the day following the announced/reported strike in order to account for the possibility of an earlier strike.
In cases where the precise time of a strike is not confirmed by U.S. government sources the following standards will be applied:
If a strike is announced as happening on a specified date without an exact time, the market will resolve based on the time of the strike based on a consensus of credible reporting. If the timing of the strike cannot be determined by a consensus of credible reporting by 5:00 PM ET on the day following the initial announcement/reporting, the strike will be considered to have occurred on the reported date at 12:00 PM in the time zone in which the strike occurred.
In the case of multiple strikes being announced/reported to have occurred on the same date, with a lack of a precise time being reported for one or multiple of the strikes, a consensus of credible reporting establishing which strike occurred first may be used to resolve the market even if the precise times of the strike(s) aren’t known.
If no consensus of the order of the strikes exists, the market will resolve based on assuming a strike time of 12 PM local time (on the listed strike date) for any strike without a published time.
If a tie still persists due to a shared time zone, the market will resolve according to the order they were announced in.
If publication timestamps are identical or cannot be reliably compared, the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the struck countries listed names.
The primary resolution source will be official public statements or publications by the U.S. government (including but not limited to AFRICOM, CENTCOM, EUCOM, INDOPACOM, SOCOM, the Department of Defense, the White House, or other U.S. agencies). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
RSS and transient postings: RSS entries, cached snippets, archives, or temporary/removed webpages will not alone qualify.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volumen
$15,212,508Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado final: Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes