Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan's commanding 88% victory in the March 3 Republican primary, coupled with North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Harrigan, who won the seat in 2024 with 57.5% amid redistricting that preserved its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, faces Democrat Ashley Bell, who prevailed in a fragmented primary with 47%. Absent public polls, historical margins exceeding 57% for Republicans, incumbency advantages, and midterm dynamics with no major challengers sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or scandals could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara NC-10
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara NC-10
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan's commanding 88% victory in the March 3 Republican primary, coupled with North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Harrigan, who won the seat in 2024 with 57.5% amid redistricting that preserved its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, faces Democrat Ashley Bell, who prevailed in a fragmented primary with 47%. Absent public polls, historical margins exceeding 57% for Republicans, incumbency advantages, and midterm dynamics with no major challengers sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or scandals could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan's commanding 88% victory in the March 3 Republican primary, coupled with North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Harrigan, who won the seat in 2024 with 57.5% amid redistricting that preserved its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, faces Democrat Ashley Bell, who prevailed in a fragmented primary with 47%. Absent public polls, historical margins exceeding 57% for Republicans, incumbency advantages, and midterm dynamics with no major challengers sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or scandals could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan's commanding 88% victory in the March 3 Republican primary, coupled with North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Harrigan, who won the seat in 2024 with 57.5% amid redistricting that preserved its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball, faces Democrat Ashley Bell, who prevailed in a fragmented primary with 47%. Absent public polls, historical margins exceeding 57% for Republicans, incumbency advantages, and midterm dynamics with no major challengers sustain the lopsided odds, though national trends or scandals could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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