Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured the GOP nomination uncontested in the March 3 primary, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who won a contested primary with 57% of the vote, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, the R+10 district—where Trump would win by 14 points—has seen Murphy dominate past generals, including 77% in 2024 amid low Democratic turnout. Murphy's $2.4 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Smith's $20,000, reinforcing trader consensus at 84.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
13%
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,067 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$3,739 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured the GOP nomination uncontested in the March 3 primary, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who won a contested primary with 57% of the vote, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, the R+10 district—where Trump would win by 14 points—has seen Murphy dominate past generals, including 77% in 2024 amid low Democratic turnout. Murphy's $2.4 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Smith's $20,000, reinforcing trader consensus at 84.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$12,806Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured the GOP nomination uncontested in the March 3 primary, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who won a contested primary with 57% of the vote, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, the R+10 district—where Trump would win by 14 points—has seen Murphy dominate past generals, including 77% in 2024 amid low Democratic turnout. Murphy's $2.4 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Smith's $20,000, reinforcing trader consensus at 84.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,806Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured the GOP nomination uncontested in the March 3 primary, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who won a contested primary with 57% of the vote, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, the R+10 district—where Trump would win by 14 points—has seen Murphy dominate past generals, including 77% in 2024 amid low Democratic turnout. Murphy's $2.4 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Smith's $20,000, reinforcing trader consensus at 84.5% for Republicans ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes