Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the May 19, 2026 primary, facing only modest intra-party opposition. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced from her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A shift in national political conditions, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments before the November general election remain the primary variables that could alter the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOR-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OR-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
91%
Partido Republicano
9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,149 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$92 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the May 19, 2026 primary, facing only modest intra-party opposition. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced from her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A shift in national political conditions, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments before the November general election remain the primary variables that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$9,241Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the May 19, 2026 primary, facing only modest intra-party opposition. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced from her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A shift in national political conditions, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments before the November general election remain the primary variables that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,241Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the May 19, 2026 primary, facing only modest intra-party opposition. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced from her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A shift in national political conditions, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late developments before the November general election remain the primary variables that could alter the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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