Florida's 25th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz seeking reelection in November 2026 against Republican primary contenders including Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. Recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced a partisan voting index of D+5, contributing to Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic or Toss-up rating. This positioning reflects the district's underlying voter composition and Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August primaries. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors against broader Florida Republican strength in statewide contests, resulting in the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
$18,090 Vol.
$18,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
64%
Partido Republicano
34%
$18,090 Vol.
$18,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$4,515 Vol.
64%
Partido Republicano
$13,575 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 25th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz seeking reelection in November 2026 against Republican primary contenders including Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. Recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced a partisan voting index of D+5, contributing to Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic or Toss-up rating. This positioning reflects the district's underlying voter composition and Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August primaries. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors against broader Florida Republican strength in statewide contests, resulting in the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$18,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 25th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz seeking reelection in November 2026 against Republican primary contenders including Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. Recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced a partisan voting index of D+5, contributing to Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic or Toss-up rating. This positioning reflects the district's underlying voter composition and Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August primaries. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors against broader Florida Republican strength in statewide contests, resulting in the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 25th congressional district features incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz seeking reelection in November 2026 against Republican primary contenders including Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. Recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in May 2026 produced a partisan voting index of D+5, contributing to Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic or Toss-up rating. This positioning reflects the district's underlying voter composition and Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August primaries. Traders appear to weigh these structural factors against broader Florida Republican strength in statewide contests, resulting in the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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