Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's dominant 81% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on Mississippi's Class II Senate seat, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate streak since 1989. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, Lowndes County district attorney, advanced with 73% amid unusually strong Democratic primary turnout nearly matching GOP levels, yet this has not dented the 90% implied probability on Republicans amid no competitive general election polls and universal Safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical precedents, Hyde-Smith's fundraising edge, and lack of battleground dynamics position the November 3 contest firmly in GOP territory, though a national Democratic wave or scandal could theoretically shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Mississippi
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Mississippi
$10,598 Vol.
$10,598 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
90%
Demócrata
8%
$10,598 Vol.
$10,598 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,944 Vol.
90%
Demócrata
$1,653 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's dominant 81% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on Mississippi's Class II Senate seat, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate streak since 1989. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, Lowndes County district attorney, advanced with 73% amid unusually strong Democratic primary turnout nearly matching GOP levels, yet this has not dented the 90% implied probability on Republicans amid no competitive general election polls and universal Safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical precedents, Hyde-Smith's fundraising edge, and lack of battleground dynamics position the November 3 contest firmly in GOP territory, though a national Democratic wave or scandal could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$10,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's dominant 81% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on Mississippi's Class II Senate seat, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate streak since 1989. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, Lowndes County district attorney, advanced with 73% amid unusually strong Democratic primary turnout nearly matching GOP levels, yet this has not dented the 90% implied probability on Republicans amid no competitive general election polls and universal Safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical precedents, Hyde-Smith's fundraising edge, and lack of battleground dynamics position the November 3 contest firmly in GOP territory, though a national Democratic wave or scandal could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's dominant 81% victory in the March 10 Republican primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on Mississippi's Class II Senate seat, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate streak since 1989. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, Lowndes County district attorney, advanced with 73% amid unusually strong Democratic primary turnout nearly matching GOP levels, yet this has not dented the 90% implied probability on Republicans amid no competitive general election polls and universal Safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical precedents, Hyde-Smith's fundraising edge, and lack of battleground dynamics position the November 3 contest firmly in GOP territory, though a national Democratic wave or scandal could theoretically shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes