Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Democratic Party at 86% implied probability to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting early polling edges over incumbent Republican Tom Barrett—who narrowly flipped the battleground seat in 2024—and robust fundraising by Democratic challengers like Bridget Brink ($1M cash on hand) and Matt Maasdam. A March 17-18 survey of likely Democratic primary voters showed William Lawrence leading at 45% after candidate biographies, signaling primary momentum amid a crowded field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while former House Speaker Joe Tate's March 12 endorsement bolstered Brink. Despite Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating, traders anticipate a Democratic pickup driven by the district's even partisan lean and midterm pressures on the GOP president's party, with general election polling sparse but historically tight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
86%
Partido Republicano
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$944 Vol.
86%
Partido Republicano
$342 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Democratic Party at 86% implied probability to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting early polling edges over incumbent Republican Tom Barrett—who narrowly flipped the battleground seat in 2024—and robust fundraising by Democratic challengers like Bridget Brink ($1M cash on hand) and Matt Maasdam. A March 17-18 survey of likely Democratic primary voters showed William Lawrence leading at 45% after candidate biographies, signaling primary momentum amid a crowded field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while former House Speaker Joe Tate's March 12 endorsement bolstered Brink. Despite Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating, traders anticipate a Democratic pickup driven by the district's even partisan lean and midterm pressures on the GOP president's party, with general election polling sparse but historically tight.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,286Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Democratic Party at 86% implied probability to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting early polling edges over incumbent Republican Tom Barrett—who narrowly flipped the battleground seat in 2024—and robust fundraising by Democratic challengers like Bridget Brink ($1M cash on hand) and Matt Maasdam. A March 17-18 survey of likely Democratic primary voters showed William Lawrence leading at 45% after candidate biographies, signaling primary momentum amid a crowded field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while former House Speaker Joe Tate's March 12 endorsement bolstered Brink. Despite Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating, traders anticipate a Democratic pickup driven by the district's even partisan lean and midterm pressures on the GOP president's party, with general election polling sparse but historically tight.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,286Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Democratic Party at 86% implied probability to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District, reflecting early polling edges over incumbent Republican Tom Barrett—who narrowly flipped the battleground seat in 2024—and robust fundraising by Democratic challengers like Bridget Brink ($1M cash on hand) and Matt Maasdam. A March 17-18 survey of likely Democratic primary voters showed William Lawrence leading at 45% after candidate biographies, signaling primary momentum amid a crowded field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while former House Speaker Joe Tate's March 12 endorsement bolstered Brink. Despite Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating, traders anticipate a Democratic pickup driven by the district's even partisan lean and midterm pressures on the GOP president's party, with general election polling sparse but historically tight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes