Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump victory in 2024. The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid advanced Republican Ralph Alvarado, who secured the May 19 primary with Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat Zach Dembo. Recent polling in the Lexington-area district shows a modest Republican edge consistent with the structural baseline. Traders have priced the Republican nominee at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded. The November 3 general election leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$22,892 Vol.
$22,892 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
73%
Partido Demócrata
24%
$22,892 Vol.
$22,892 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,002 Vol.
73%
Partido Demócrata
$13,890 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump victory in 2024. The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid advanced Republican Ralph Alvarado, who secured the May 19 primary with Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat Zach Dembo. Recent polling in the Lexington-area district shows a modest Republican edge consistent with the structural baseline. Traders have priced the Republican nominee at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded. The November 3 general election leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$22,892Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump victory in 2024. The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid advanced Republican Ralph Alvarado, who secured the May 19 primary with Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat Zach Dembo. Recent polling in the Lexington-area district shows a modest Republican edge consistent with the structural baseline. Traders have priced the Republican nominee at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded. The November 3 general election leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,892Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump victory in 2024. The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid advanced Republican Ralph Alvarado, who secured the May 19 primary with Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat Zach Dembo. Recent polling in the Lexington-area district shows a modest Republican edge consistent with the structural baseline. Traders have priced the Republican nominee at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries concluded. The November 3 general election leaves room for late developments to influence the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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