The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr's move to the Senate primary has set up a November general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo following their respective May 19 primary victories. Kentucky's 6th district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solidly or likely Republican. Recent polling shows Alvarado holding a narrow edge or tie in head-to-head matchups, while the party's structural advantages in the Lexington-area district sustain trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Scheduled events like the November 3 general election remain the primary resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments reported in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$23,303 Vol.
$23,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
69%
Partido Demócrata
28%
$23,303 Vol.
$23,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,244 Vol.
69%
Partido Demócrata
$14,060 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr's move to the Senate primary has set up a November general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo following their respective May 19 primary victories. Kentucky's 6th district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solidly or likely Republican. Recent polling shows Alvarado holding a narrow edge or tie in head-to-head matchups, while the party's structural advantages in the Lexington-area district sustain trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Scheduled events like the November 3 general election remain the primary resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments reported in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr's move to the Senate primary has set up a November general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo following their respective May 19 primary victories. Kentucky's 6th district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solidly or likely Republican. Recent polling shows Alvarado holding a narrow edge or tie in head-to-head matchups, while the party's structural advantages in the Lexington-area district sustain trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Scheduled events like the November 3 general election remain the primary resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments reported in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Andy Barr's move to the Senate primary has set up a November general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo following their respective May 19 primary victories. Kentucky's 6th district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solidly or likely Republican. Recent polling shows Alvarado holding a narrow edge or tie in head-to-head matchups, while the party's structural advantages in the Lexington-area district sustain trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Scheduled events like the November 3 general election remain the primary resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments reported in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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