Virginia's 5th Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, and incumbent John McGuire holds the seat after winning 57% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent Virginia Supreme Court action rejected a Democratic-backed redistricting plan, leaving prior boundaries intact and preserving the district's partisan composition. Democratic primary contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, have launched campaigns, yet the structural advantages for Republicans have kept trader consensus aligned with the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the race outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Demócrata
29%
$52,617 Vol.
$52,617 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,221 Vol.
72%
Partido Demócrata
$28,397 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, and incumbent John McGuire holds the seat after winning 57% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent Virginia Supreme Court action rejected a Democratic-backed redistricting plan, leaving prior boundaries intact and preserving the district's partisan composition. Democratic primary contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, have launched campaigns, yet the structural advantages for Republicans have kept trader consensus aligned with the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the race outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$52,617Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, and incumbent John McGuire holds the seat after winning 57% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent Virginia Supreme Court action rejected a Democratic-backed redistricting plan, leaving prior boundaries intact and preserving the district's partisan composition. Democratic primary contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, have launched campaigns, yet the structural advantages for Republicans have kept trader consensus aligned with the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the race outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,617Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, and incumbent John McGuire holds the seat after winning 57% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent Virginia Supreme Court action rejected a Democratic-backed redistricting plan, leaving prior boundaries intact and preserving the district's partisan composition. Democratic primary contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, have launched campaigns, yet the structural advantages for Republicans have kept trader consensus aligned with the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts in the race outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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