Incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's double-digit leads in the latest general election polls—such as 50%-28% in Gonzales Research and 45%-37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in Maryland's solidly blue gubernatorial race, set for November 3 after June 23 primaries. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% to 48% amid economic pessimism and state direction concerns, his well-funded reelection bid with Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller faces a fragmented Republican primary field including Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and John Myrick, lacking a heavyweight after Larry Hogan's January exit. Challenges would require a GOP fundraising surge, primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a major Moore scandal eroding his incumbency edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$15,106 Vol.
$15,106 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
6%
$15,106 Vol.
$15,106 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$6,570 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$8,536 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's double-digit leads in the latest general election polls—such as 50%-28% in Gonzales Research and 45%-37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in Maryland's solidly blue gubernatorial race, set for November 3 after June 23 primaries. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% to 48% amid economic pessimism and state direction concerns, his well-funded reelection bid with Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller faces a fragmented Republican primary field including Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and John Myrick, lacking a heavyweight after Larry Hogan's January exit. Challenges would require a GOP fundraising surge, primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a major Moore scandal eroding his incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$15,106Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's double-digit leads in the latest general election polls—such as 50%-28% in Gonzales Research and 45%-37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in Maryland's solidly blue gubernatorial race, set for November 3 after June 23 primaries. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% to 48% amid economic pessimism and state direction concerns, his well-funded reelection bid with Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller faces a fragmented Republican primary field including Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and John Myrick, lacking a heavyweight after Larry Hogan's January exit. Challenges would require a GOP fundraising surge, primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a major Moore scandal eroding his incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,106Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's double-digit leads in the latest general election polls—such as 50%-28% in Gonzales Research and 45%-37% in OpinionWorks—anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in Maryland's solidly blue gubernatorial race, set for November 3 after June 23 primaries. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% to 48% amid economic pessimism and state direction concerns, his well-funded reelection bid with Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller faces a fragmented Republican primary field including Dan Cox, Ed Hale, and John Myrick, lacking a heavyweight after Larry Hogan's January exit. Challenges would require a GOP fundraising surge, primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a major Moore scandal eroding his incumbency edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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