Traders' 65% implied probability for "No" major space weather event from March 22-28 stems primarily from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest forecasts showing only minor G1 geomagnetic storms possible late-week from glancing coronal mass ejections (CMEs), far below G4+ thresholds for "major" disruptions like widespread power grid risks. Active Region 3615 produced an X1.1 solar flare on March 23 with a partial halo CME, but models indicate weak Earth impacts insufficient for severe storms, per real-time solar wind data from DSCOVR satellite. Coronal hole high-speed streams may elevate activity to G2 by March 26-27, yet historical baselines during Solar Cycle 25 peak suggest low odds of escalation without X10+ flares or direct strong CMEs, tempering bullish sentiment amid quiet 27-day outlooks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Un evento importante de clima espacial esta semana? (22-28 de marzo)
¿Un evento importante de clima espacial esta semana? (22-28 de marzo)
Sí
NEW
NEW
Mar 28, 2026
Sí
NEW
NEW
Mar 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$3,977Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$3,977Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' 65% implied probability for "No" major space weather event from March 22-28 stems primarily from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's latest forecasts showing only minor G1 geomagnetic storms possible late-week from glancing coronal mass ejections (CMEs), far below G4+ thresholds for "major" disruptions like widespread power grid risks. Active Region 3615 produced an X1.1 solar flare on March 23 with a partial halo CME, but models indicate weak Earth impacts insufficient for severe storms, per real-time solar wind data from DSCOVR satellite. Coronal hole high-speed streams may elevate activity to G2 by March 26-27, yet historical baselines during Solar Cycle 25 peak suggest low odds of escalation without X10+ flares or direct strong CMEs, tempering bullish sentiment amid quiet 27-day outlooks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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