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Política·Fed

¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?

Market icon
Política·Fed

¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?

$117,918 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$117,918 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de mayo

$66,200 Vol.

39%

31 de diciembre

$51,724 Vol.

70%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, amid escalating tensions with the Trump administration over Fed independence. Powell's March 18 announcement vowing to retain his Board seat—expiring January 31, 2028—until nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation and a DOJ probe into $1 billion-plus Fed headquarters renovation overruns concludes has stalled Warsh's process, with Senator Tillis blocking advancement. Recent judicial quashing of DOJ subpoenas (March 13) and Attorney General Pam Bondi's April 2 departure add uncertainty to resolution timelines. As Powell's Chair term ends May 15, traders weigh policy continuity risks against mounting political pressure, influencing market-implied Fed funds paths and Treasury yields ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$117,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, amid escalating tensions with the Trump administration over Fed independence. Powell's March 18 announcement vowing to retain his Board seat—expiring January 31, 2028—until nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation and a DOJ probe into $1 billion-plus Fed headquarters renovation overruns concludes has stalled Warsh's process, with Senator Tillis blocking advancement. Recent judicial quashing of DOJ subpoenas (March 13) and Attorney General Pam Bondi's April 2 departure add uncertainty to resolution timelines. As Powell's Chair term ends May 15, traders weigh policy continuity risks against mounting political pressure, influencing market-implied Fed funds paths and Treasury yields ahead of upcoming FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$117,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 70%, seguido de "30 de mayo" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?" ha generado $117.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de mayo" con 39%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.