Market icon

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

Market icon

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

$1,718,171 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,718,171 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$293,486 Vol.

7%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$587,419 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Syria's interim government under President Ahmad al-Sharaa engaged in US-mediated security talks with Israel in Paris on January 5-6, 2026, discussing de-escalation, intelligence sharing, and a potential demilitarized border zone to address jihadist threats and smuggling. However, prospects for diplomatic normalization have dimmed amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes—over 1,000 since the regime change—incursions into southern Syria like recent operations in Al Quneitra, and disputes over the Golan Heights, buffer zones, and Druze protection. Syria condemns these as sovereignty violations, prioritizing internal stabilization, while Israel's forward military posture underscores unresolved security risks. US diplomatic efforts may intensify, but structural barriers persist.

Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Syria's interim government under President Ahmad al-Sharaa engaged in US-mediated security talks with Israel in Paris on January 5-6, 2026, discussing de-escalation, intelligence sharing, and a potential demilitarized border zone to address jihadist threats and smuggling. However, prospects for diplomatic normalization have dimmed amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes—over 1,000 since the regime change—incursions into southern Syria like recent operations in Al Quneitra, and disputes over the Golan Heights, buffer zones, and Druze protection. Syria condemns these as sovereignty violations, prioritizing internal stabilization, while Israel's forward military posture underscores unresolved security risks. US diplomatic efforts may intensify, but structural barriers persist.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Syria's interim government under President Ahmad al-Sharaa engaged in US-mediated security talks with Israel in Paris on January 5-6, 2026, discussing de-escalation, intelligence sharing, and a potential demilitarized border zone to address jihadist threats and smuggling. However, prospects for diplomatic normalization have dimmed amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes—over 1,000 since the regime change—incursions into southern Syria like recent operations in Al Quneitra, and disputes over the Golan Heights, buffer zones, and Druze protection. Syria condemns these as sovereignty violations, prioritizing internal stabilization, while Israel's forward military posture underscores unresolved security risks. US diplomatic efforts may intensify, but structural barriers persist.

Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Syria's interim government under President Ahmad al-Sharaa engaged in US-mediated security talks with Israel in Paris on January 5-6, 2026, discussing de-escalation, intelligence sharing, and a potential demilitarized border zone to address jihadist threats and smuggling. However, prospects for diplomatic normalization have dimmed amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes—over 1,000 since the regime change—incursions into southern Syria like recent operations in Al Quneitra, and disputes over the Golan Heights, buffer zones, and Druze protection. Syria condemns these as sovereignty violations, prioritizing internal stabilization, while Israel's forward military posture underscores unresolved security risks. US diplomatic efforts may intensify, but structural barriers persist.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 16%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.