Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands 97.4% trader consensus to win Idaho's closed Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his multi-term tenure, superior fundraising—outpacing challengers per February reports—and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout GOP contest. Recent candidate filings by the March 6 federal deadline confirmed Joe Evans as Risch's primary opponent, with minimal polling or momentum shifting odds. North Idaho businessman Denny LaVé's April 2 entry has yet to register on markets. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile endorsement could theoretically challenge Risch, such disruptions remain improbable absent major catalysts before early voting begins April 27.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
19 may 2026
Jim Risch
97%
Joe Evans
2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 may 2026
Jim Risch
$8,457 Vol.
97%
Joe Evans
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands 97.4% trader consensus to win Idaho's closed Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his multi-term tenure, superior fundraising—outpacing challengers per February reports—and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout GOP contest. Recent candidate filings by the March 6 federal deadline confirmed Joe Evans as Risch's primary opponent, with minimal polling or momentum shifting odds. North Idaho businessman Denny LaVé's April 2 entry has yet to register on markets. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile endorsement could theoretically challenge Risch, such disruptions remain improbable absent major catalysts before early voting begins April 27.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Volumen
$8,457Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands 97.4% trader consensus to win Idaho's closed Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his multi-term tenure, superior fundraising—outpacing challengers per February reports—and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout GOP contest. Recent candidate filings by the March 6 federal deadline confirmed Joe Evans as Risch's primary opponent, with minimal polling or momentum shifting odds. North Idaho businessman Denny LaVé's April 2 entry has yet to register on markets. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile endorsement could theoretically challenge Risch, such disruptions remain improbable absent major catalysts before early voting begins April 27.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$8,457Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands 97.4% trader consensus to win Idaho's closed Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his multi-term tenure, superior fundraising—outpacing challengers per February reports—and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout GOP contest. Recent candidate filings by the March 6 federal deadline confirmed Joe Evans as Risch's primary opponent, with minimal polling or momentum shifting odds. North Idaho businessman Denny LaVé's April 2 entry has yet to register on markets. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile endorsement could theoretically challenge Risch, such disruptions remain improbable absent major catalysts before early voting begins April 27.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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