Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's bid for a third term, formalized in late February 2026 amid a crowded eight-candidate GOP primary field including far-right challengers, underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 93.8% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Idaho's Republican trifecta, historical GOP dominance in gubernatorial races since 1995, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect the state's deep-red status, where Democrats hold scant viability despite their four primary contenders. While Little holds a Trump endorsement, scenarios like a primary upset yielding a polarizing nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented national midterm swing could challenge this outlook, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Idaho
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Idaho
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Republicano
94%
Demócrata
5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$0 Vol.
94%
Demócrata
$2,445 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's bid for a third term, formalized in late February 2026 amid a crowded eight-candidate GOP primary field including far-right challengers, underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 93.8% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Idaho's Republican trifecta, historical GOP dominance in gubernatorial races since 1995, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect the state's deep-red status, where Democrats hold scant viability despite their four primary contenders. While Little holds a Trump endorsement, scenarios like a primary upset yielding a polarizing nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented national midterm swing could challenge this outlook, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$2,445Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's bid for a third term, formalized in late February 2026 amid a crowded eight-candidate GOP primary field including far-right challengers, underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 93.8% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Idaho's Republican trifecta, historical GOP dominance in gubernatorial races since 1995, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect the state's deep-red status, where Democrats hold scant viability despite their four primary contenders. While Little holds a Trump endorsement, scenarios like a primary upset yielding a polarizing nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented national midterm swing could challenge this outlook, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$2,445Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's bid for a third term, formalized in late February 2026 amid a crowded eight-candidate GOP primary field including far-right challengers, underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 93.8% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Idaho's Republican trifecta, historical GOP dominance in gubernatorial races since 1995, and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect the state's deep-red status, where Democrats hold scant viability despite their four primary contenders. While Little holds a Trump endorsement, scenarios like a primary upset yielding a polarizing nominee, major scandal, or unprecedented national midterm swing could challenge this outlook, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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